On Monday, ODM leader Raila Odinga indicated that he might be selecting new replacements for four Cabinet nominees to stabilize the party while he pursues his bid for the African Union Commission chairperson position. This move comes as Odinga seeks to ensure a smooth transition and continued party strength in his absence.

Consultations with Key Governors

Odinga met with Governors Abdulswamad Nassir of Mombasa and Simba Arati in Mombasa, as part of his strategy to address the leadership vacuum created by the new Cabinet Secretary nominees. Both governors, who won their positions on ODM tickets in the 2022 elections, are seen as strong grassroots mobilizers and are expected to play a crucial role in maintaining the party’s presence as Odinga focuses on his continental ambitions.

Potential Successors: Abdulswamad and Arati

Sources suggest that Abdulswamad Nassir and Simba Arati are likely to be appointed as Odinga’s deputies in the coming weeks, succeeding Hassan Joho and Wycliffe Oparanya. Their appointment is part of a broader strategy to ensure effective party management and to prepare for the 2027 elections. The ODM is currently finalizing consultations to reach a consensus on this leadership transition, with both governors recognized for their loyalty and effectiveness.

Impact of Recent Cabinet Appointments

President William Ruto recently nominated several top ODM leaders, including Joho and Oparanya, for Cabinet positions. This move was part of a broader government arrangement and follows weeks of protests. Both Joho and Oparanya, who have been prominent ODM leaders, are expected to join Ruto’s Cabinet pending parliamentary approval. Their appointments underscore their significant role in the party’s regional influence and past election campaigns.

Party Dynamics and Succession Challenges

The ODM party is currently experiencing internal succession disputes, with key allies vying for various positions, including the National Assembly Minority leader. President Ruto’s nomination of Opiyo Wandayi for the Energy and Petroleum Cabinet Secretary role has created an opening for the minority leader position. Potential successors for this role include Otiende Amollo, Millie Odhiambo, James Nyikal, Jared Okello, Babu Owino, and George Aladwa.

Future Decisions and Considerations

Raila Odinga will have the final say on several key appointments, including the next National Assembly Minority leader and the Secretary of Political Affairs. The selection process will involve careful consideration of regional representation, experience, gender, and loyalty. Additionally, Raila will decide on the new ODM chairperson to replace John Mbadi, who has been nominated for the National Treasury and Economic Planning CS role.